Supermajority.
Langer Public Affairs followers predict stronger mandate for Tim Houston’s governing Progressive Conservatives.
Langer Public Affairs followers were recently asked to predict the results of the NS Election riding-by-riding. Their predictions align well with recent polls and indicate the PCs will return to power with an even stronger mandate, increasing their seat count and achieving supermajority status. Readers also predict some gains for the NDP as well as major losses for the Liberals.
39 - 9 - 6 - 1
The final seat projection has the Tories comfortably in majority territory with 39 seats, gaining significantly since the last election, an almost unheard of feat for an incumbent government. The NDP make small gains and creep closer to double digits, while the Liberals suffer losses across the province, losing ground to both parties. Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin, the lone Independent MLA at dissolution, is expected by readers to keep her seat.
Seat Count
Riding-By-Riding Forecast
| Riding | Most Predicted Winner |
|---|---|
| Annapolis | David Bowlby (PC Party) |
| Antigonish | Michelle Thompson (PC Party) |
| Argyle | Colton LeBlanc (PC Party) |
| Bedford Basin | Tim Outhit (PC Party) |
| Bedford South | Braedon Clark (Liberal Party) |
| Cape Breton Centre-Whitney Pier | Kendra Coombes (NDP) |
| Cape Breton East | Brian Comer (PC Party) |
| Chester-St. Margaret's | Danielle Barkhouse (PC Party) |
| Clare | Ryan Robicheau (PC Party) |
| Clayton Park West | Elizabeth Eustaquio-Domondon (Liberal Party) |
| Colchester-Musquodoboit Valley | Scott Armstrong (PC Party) |
| Colchester North | Tom Taggart (PC Party) |
| Cole Harbour | Leah Martin (PC Party) |
| Cole Harbour-Dartmouth | Brad McGowan (PC Party) |
| Cumberland North | Elizabeth Smith-McCrossin (Independent) |
| Cumberland South | Tory Rushton (PC Party) |
| Dartmouth East | Timothy Halman (PC Party) |
| Dartmouth North | Susan Leblanc (NDP) |
| Dartmouth South | Claudia Chender (NDP) |
| Digby - Annapolis | Jill Balser (PC Party) |
| Eastern Passage | Barbara Adams (PC Party) |
| Eastern Shore | Kent Smith (PC Party) |
| Fairview - Clayton Park | Lina Hamid (NDP) |
| Glace Bay - Dominion | John White (PC Party) |
| Guysborough-Tracadie | Greg Morrow (PC Party) |
| Halifax Armdale | Rod Wilson (NDP) |
| Halifax Atlantic | Brendan Maguire (PC Party) |
| Halifax - Chebucto | Krista Gallagher (NDP) |
| Halifax - Citadel - Sable Island | Lisa Lachance (NDP) |
| Halifax - Needham | Suzy Hansen (NDP) |
| Hammonds Plains - Lucasville | Ben Jessome (Liberal Party) |
| Hants East | John A. MacDonald (PC Party) |
| Hants West | Melissa Sheehy-Richard (PC Party) |
| Inverness | Kyle MacQuarrie (PC Party) |
| Kings North | John A. Lohr (PC Party) |
| Kings South | Julie Vanexan (PC Party) |
| Kings West | Chris Palmer (PC Party) |
| Lunenburg | Susan Corkum-Greek (PC Party) |
| Lunenburg West | Becky Druhan (PC Party) |
| Northside - Westmount | Fred Tilley (PC Party) |
| Pictou Centre | Danny MacGillivray (PC Party) |
| Pictou East | Tim Houston (PC Party) |
| Pictou West | Marco MacLeod (PC Party) |
| Preston | Twila Grosse (PC Party) |
| Queens | Kim Masland (PC Party) |
| Richmond | Trevor Boudreau (PC Party) |
| Sackville-Cobequid | Paul Russell (PC Party) |
| Sackville-Uniacke | Lisa Blackburn (NDP) |
| Shelburne | Nolan Young (PC Party) |
| Sydney - Membertou | Derek Mombourquette (Liberal Party) |
| Timberlea - Prospect | Iain Rankin (Liberal Party) |
| Truro-Bible Hill-Millbrook-Salmon River | Dave Ritcey (PC Party) |
| Victoria-The Lakes | Dianne Timmins (PC Party) |
| Waverley-Fall River-Beaver Bank | Brian Wong (PC Party) |
| Yarmouth | Zach Churchill (Liberal Party) |